WNBA playoff picture, odds, predictions: Storm, Mystics postseason berths

WNBA playoff picture, odds, predictions: Storm, Mystics postseason berths

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With just over two weeks left in the 2022 WNBA regular season, the playoff picture is starting to heat up. Five teams punched their ticket to the playoffs — the Chicago Sky, Las Vegas Aces, Connecticut Sun, Seattle Storm and Washington Mystics — with the Indiana Fever the only team to lose.

Looking closer, there are no locked races, and some exciting races remain. The top three teams are all in the hunt for the No. 1 seed; The Hurricanes and Mystics are fighting for the fourth; And the six teams from 6th-11th are in the final three places in the real rest.

As a reminder, the league has changed the playoff system once again. While the top eight teams still make the playoffs, there is no peace anymore. Instead, each team begins play in the first round in a standard bracket format of No. 1 seed vs. No. 8 seed, No. 2 seed vs. No. 7 seed, No. 3 seed vs. No. 6 seed, and No. 4 seed vs. No. 5 seed. The bracket is not seeded again after the first round.

The first-round matchups will be best-of-three series, with the higher seed playing Games 1 and 2 at home, and the lower seed hosting Game 3. Both the semi-finals and finals will be best-of-five series 2. -2-1 format, meaning the higher seeds host games 1, 2 and 5, while the lower seeded team hosts games 3 and 4.

Current levels

1. Chicago Sky (22-7) – The playoffs are tight

2. Las Vegas Aces (21-8) – The playoff spot is tight

3. Connecticut Sun (20-9) — The playoffs are tight

4. Seattle Hurricanes (19-11) — The playoffs are tight

5. Washington Mystics (18-12) — The playoff spot is tight

6. Dallas Wings (13-16)

7. Phoenix Mercury (13-16)

8. Los Angeles Sparks (12-16)

9. Atlanta Dream (12-18)

10. Liberty of New York (10-17)

11. Minnesota Lynx (11-19)

12. Indiana Fever (5-26) – Eliminated

As the action continues at full speed, take a closer look at footage of the race:

Race for the No. 1 seed

1. Chicago Sky (22-7) – The playoffs are tight

Remaining Games: 7 (Including Suns, Suns and Aces) Matchups: vs. Aces: 1-1 in season series with one game remaining. The Suns are 2-0 in the regular season with two games remaining in their current first-round matchup against the No. 8 Los Angeles Sparks.

2. Las Vegas Aces (21-8) – The playoff spot is tight

Remaining games: 7 (including Suns) Qualifiers: Sky: 1-1 season series with one game remaining. The Suns won the first round of the season 2-1 against the No. 7 Phoenix Mercury

3. Connecticut Sun (20-9) — The playoffs are tight

Remaining games: 7 (including against Sky and Sky) Qualifiers: Sky: 0-2 with two games remaining in season series; Aces: Lost series 1-2 Current first round matchup: vs. No. 6 Dallas Wings

Sky are currently alone in first place but Aces and Sun are right on their heels. And with one game remaining against the Sky and two against the Suns, the No. 1 seed and home court advantage are still up for grabs throughout the playoffs.

With their current lead and the chance to grab the victory over Aces and Sun, Sky should be considered as the favorites to take the first place. However, the Aces were 5-1 after the All-Star break and won the Commissioner’s Cup final, while the Suns won 6-1 after the break.

Two teams fighting for number 4

4. Seattle Hurricanes (18-11)

Remaining games: 6 (including vs. Mystics) Qualifiers: vs. Mystics: 2-0 season series lead Current first-round matchup: vs. No. 5 Washington Mystics

5. Washington Mystics (18-11)

Remaining games: 6 (including Hurricanes) Odds of winning: vs. Storm: Losing streak 0-2 Current first-round matchup against No. 4 Seattle Hurricanes

One of the tightest contests right now is in the middle of the standings, with the Hurricanes and Mystics going for the fourth seed and home court advantage in the first round. On Saturday, the Hurricanes dominated the weekend with a win over the Mystics in their first game back to back. As a result, Seattle won the final game between the two teams and finished the tournament ahead of the standings.

The fourth is still in good shape, however, especially if Washington can win in the last meeting between the teams on Sunday. The Mystics are tied in the standings with five games each, despite not winning the playoffs.

Places 6-8 for containers

6. Dallas Wings (13-16)

Remaining games: 7 (at Mercury, vs. Sparks vs. Liberty x2) Tie-breaker: 2-1 with one game left in regular season. Against Sparks: 1-2 with one game left in season; With Dreams: The Lost Series 1-2; Against Liberty: 1-0 with two games left in season series; vs. Lynx: Won season series 2-1 Current first-round matchup: vs. No. 3 Connecticut Sun.

The Wings had lost seven of their last 10 games heading into Saturday, but had a big win in the Dream to get back on track. In addition, they jumped up to sixth in the standings. They still have a lot of work to do, but hitting the dream was a big step toward their second straight playoff appearance.

7. Phoenix Mercury (13-16)

Remaining games: 7 (including against Liberty, Liberty and Wings) Playoff games: vs. Sparks: Season series tied 2-2, currently owns playoff with Wings over .500 teams with one game remaining in 1-2 season series; With Dreams: The Lost Series 1-2; Against Liberty: 1-0 with two games left in season series; Against Lynx: Losing streak 0-3 Current first round matchup: 2 vs. Las Vegas Aces

With Skylar Diggins-Smith leading the way, the Mercury have won two straight to jump to seventh. That’s a strong position for now, but they’re about to embark on a tough three-game East Coast road trip that includes two games against the red-hot Suns.

8. Los Angeles Sparks (12-16)

Remaining games: 8 (including vs. Lynx, at Liberty x2, at Dream, vs. Wings) Qualifiers: vs. Sparks: Season series tied 2-2, currently holding worse record against teams over .500; Wings 2-1 in season series with one game remaining; With the Dream: 1-1 in the series with one game left; Against Liberty: 1-0 with two games left in season series; Lynx: 1-1 in season series with one game remaining Current first-round matchup: vs. No. 1 Chicago Sky

The Sparks are on a downward spiral again, and their next four games are against other playoff hopefuls, three of which come on the road. This stretch will be crucial for the Sparks, who are just one game back on the Ninth Dream when they play Aug. 5.

9. Atlanta Dream (12-18)

Remaining games: 6 (vs. Sparks, v. Lynx, v. Liberty, Liberty) Odds: Mercury: Win season series 2-1. Sparks: 1-1 in series with one game left; Wings: Win the season series 2-1. Against Liberty: 1-1 with two games left in season series; vs. Lynx: 1-1 in season series with one game remaining Current first round matchup: N/A

There’s no good time for a four-game losing streak, but the final month of the season is especially painful. This current slide has taken the dream out of the game, and after Saturday’s heavy defeat at the Wings, they are now a full game out of eighth place. The good news is that they’ve won or tied in every playoff game, which could give them the upper hand in the playoffs come the end of the season.

10. Minnesota Lynx (11-19)

Games Remaining: 6 (vs. Sparks, including vs. Dream) Wins: vs. Mercury: 3-0 in season series. Against the Sparks: 1-1 in the series with one game remaining; Wings: Lost season series 1-2; With the Dream: 1-1 in the series with one game left; vs. Liberty: Won season series 2-1 Current first round matchup: N/A

The Lynx may not make the playoffs, even though their midseason record looks more respectable. They have played a lot of games and have the worst record of this group, but with two games to go in eighth place and a handful of winners, we’ll include them for now.

11. New York Liberty (10-18)

Remaining games: 8 (vs. Mercury vs. Sparks x2, vs. Mercury, vs. Wings x2, vs. Dream) Playoffs: vs. Mercury: 0-1 with two games left in the series; Against Sparks: 0-1 with two games left in season series; The Wings are 0-1 with two games left in the series; With the Dream: 1-1 with two games left in the series; vs. Lynx: Lost season series 1-2 Current first round matchup: N/A

Candace Parker’s absence on Friday night meant the Liberty could not take advantage. As a result, they have dropped to 11th place with a record of 2-8 in their last 10 games. Their playoff hopes are fading, but the remaining eight games are against other playoff contenders, so they can go in if they get hot.

The bottom of the play-off picture is a messy affair, with the six teams between sixth and 11th separated by just 2.5 games. Every team has at least two games remaining against other teams in this division, and only a handful have finished. All this means that these current levels will not last long.

removed

12. Indiana Fever (5-26)

The Heat are the first team out of the playoffs and will return to the lottery for the 6th straight season. This is the worst stretch in franchise history, and they will be hoping for some luck with the ping pong balls later this year.

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